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AI Insights & Research

Research update | Software-development productivityMETR·

When developers resist working without AI, productivity studies must adapt

METR reports that developers’ reluctance to work without AI and selective task submission weakened its follow-up productivity study. Concurrent agent work also complicated time measurement. As AI changes which tasks people attempt and how they work, established experimental designs may no longer capture the benefits reliably.

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Theoretical preprint | Research ethics and governancearXiv·

How should research prepare for the possibility of AI consciousness?

The authors propose five principles covering research goals, procedures, knowledge sharing and public communication under uncertainty about AI consciousness. Their proposal separates convincing appearances from scientific assessment and asks what commitments research organisations should make before the question is settled.

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Industry practice · Company reportMorgan Stanley·

AI in wealth management: connecting client meetings to follow-up work

With client consent, Morgan Stanley’s Debrief produces meeting notes, action items and draft follow-up emails, saving notes to Salesforce. Advisors edit and decide what to send, placing AI inside an existing service workflow.

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Empirical working paperCEPR·

Supplementary study · 11

Canaries in the Gold Mine: AI and Organization Capital

Do AI gains become lasting organizational capability? This study links recent productivity gains to durable, firm-specific knowledge built through practice.

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Working paper · TheoryMIT / NBER·

Core reading · 09

Speculative Growth and the AI “Bubble”

Valuations can influence investment and capital formation, rather than merely reflect productive capacity. Can temporary optimism leave lasting productive assets?

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Model preprintarXiv·

Supplementary study · 12

The Economic Benefits and Costs of AI

Workers who build AI, workers displaced by it and workers in other production face different outcomes. How do competition and monopoly change distribution?

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Journal paper · TheoryCritical Sociology·

Core reading · 06

From human capital to asset ownership: AI as rentier asset

AI can participate in production while access and infrastructure control shape its returns. Who has the ownership and bargaining power to share productivity gains?

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